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The Macroeconomic Effects of Natural Resource Extraction Book PDF Summary

To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea’s economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model is a multi-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, and features components that allow for a detailed study of the effects of both fiscal and monetary policy in response to a positive shock to the mineral resource value of a country. The model contains tradable, non-tradable, and mining sectors, as well as an independent central bank and fiscal authority. We calibrate the model to the current economy of Papua New Guinea and run a suite of policy simulations. We find that macroeconomic effects from a resource boom typically associated with Dutch Disease effects such as a real appreciation and a fall in tradable sector production stem largely from the non-tradable component of government spending. The central bank can offset the real appreciation, but not without crowding out the private sector. A sovereign wealth fund (SWF), combined with a smooth capital spending path, entails the best means of dealing with macroeconomic volatility and maintaining a stable fiscal regime.

Detail Book of The Macroeconomic Effects of Natural Resource Extraction PDF

The Macroeconomic Effects of Natural Resource Extraction
  • Author : Mr.Suman S Basu
  • Release : 31 May 2013
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • ISBN : 9781484309810
  • Genre : Business & Economics
  • Total Page : 37 pages
  • Language : English
  • PDF File Size : 17,7 Mb

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