The Black Swan is popular PDF and ePub book, written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in 2009-10-13, it is a fantastic choice for those who relish reading online the Forecasting genre. Let's immerse ourselves in this engaging Forecasting book by exploring the summary and details provided below. Remember, The Black Swan can be Read Online from any device for your convenience.
The Black Swan Book PDF Summary
In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.
Detail Book of The Black Swan PDF
- Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Release : 13 October 2009
- Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
- ISBN : 9780812979183
- Genre : Forecasting
- Total Page : 388 pages
- Language : English
- PDF File Size : 9,6 Mb
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