Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems is popular PDF and ePub book, written by Shreeda Maskey in 2004-11-23, it is a fantastic choice for those who relish reading online the Science genre. Let's immerse ourselves in this engaging Science book by exploring the summary and details provided below. Remember, Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems can be Read Online from any device for your convenience.
Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems Book PDF Summary
Like all natural hazards, flooding is a complex and inherently uncertain phenomenon. Despite advances in developing flood forecasting models and techniques, the uncertainty in forecasts remains unavoidable. This uncertainty needs to be acknowledged, and uncertainty estimation in flood forecasting provides a rational basis for risk-based criteria. This book presents the development and applications of various methods based on probablity and fuzzy set theories for modelling uncertainty in flood forecasting systems. In particular, it presents a methodology for uncertainty assessment using disaggregation of time series inputs in the framework of both the Monte Carlo method and the Fuzzy Extention Principle. It reports an improvement in the First Order Second Moment method, using second degree reconstruction, and derives qualitative scales for the interpretation of qualitative uncertainty. Application is to flood forecasting models for the Klodzko catchment in POland and the Loire River in France. Prospects for the hybrid techniques of uncertainty modelling and probability-possibility transformations are also explored and reported.
Detail Book of Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting Systems PDF
- Author : Shreeda Maskey
- Release : 23 November 2004
- Publisher : CRC Press
- ISBN : 9780203026823
- Genre : Science
- Total Page : 184 pages
- Language : English
- PDF File Size : 17,9 Mb
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