Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks is popular PDF and ePub book, written by Bilal M. Ayyub in 2001-06-27, it is a fantastic choice for those who relish reading online the Technology & Engineering genre. Let's immerse ourselves in this engaging Technology & Engineering book by exploring the summary and details provided below. Remember, Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks can be Read Online from any device for your convenience.
Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks Book PDF Summary
Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also contain their own biases and pet theories. Therefore, selecting experts, eliciting their opinions, and aggregating their opinions must be performed and handled carefully, with full recognition of the uncertainties inherent in those opinions. Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks illuminates those uncertainties and builds a foundation of philosophy, background, methods, and guidelines that helps its readers effectively execute the elicitation process. Based on the first-hand experiences of the author, the book is filled with illustrations, examples, case studies, and applications that demonstrate not only the methods and successes of expert opinion elicitation, but also its pitfalls and failures. Studies show that in the future, analysts, engineers, and scientists will need to solve ever more complex problems and reach decisions with limited resources. This will lead to an increased reliance on the proper treatment of uncertainty and on the use of expert opinions. Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks will help prepare you to better understand knowledge and ignorance, to successfully elicit expert opinions, to select appropriate expressions of those opinions, and to use various methods to model and aggregate opinions.
Detail Book of Elicitation of Expert Opinions for Uncertainty and Risks PDF
- Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
- Release : 27 June 2001
- Publisher : CRC Press
- ISBN : 0849310873
- Genre : Technology & Engineering
- Total Page : 328 pages
- Language : English
- PDF File Size : 14,6 Mb
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