The Logic of Intelligence Analysis is popular PDF and ePub book, written by Karl Spielmann in 2018-06-12, it is a fantastic choice for those who relish reading online the Political Science genre. Let's immerse ourselves in this engaging Political Science book by exploring the summary and details provided below. Remember, The Logic of Intelligence Analysis can be Read Online from any device for your convenience.
The Logic of Intelligence Analysis Book PDF Summary
This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis. By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners.
Detail Book of The Logic of Intelligence Analysis PDF
- Author : Karl Spielmann
- Release : 12 June 2018
- Publisher : Routledge
- ISBN : 9780429891885
- Genre : Political Science
- Total Page : 169 pages
- Language : English
- PDF File Size : 16,5 Mb
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