Probably Overthinking It is popular PDF and ePub book, written by Allen B. Downey in 2023-12-06, it is a fantastic choice for those who relish reading online the Mathematics genre. Let's immerse ourselves in this engaging Mathematics book by exploring the summary and details provided below. Remember, Probably Overthinking It can be Read Online from any device for your convenience.
Probably Overthinking It Book PDF Summary
An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports, at the doctor’s office, and in every sort of forecast, from the stock market to the weather. Blogger, teacher, and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that people have an innate ability both to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking, the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect medical prognoses, underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes, hindered social justice efforts, and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers, and Downey will help you see which are which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences, drawing on cases from health campaigns, political movements, chess rankings, and more. He lays out common pitfalls—like the base rate fallacy, length-biased sampling, and Simpson’s paradox—and shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly, and what goes wrong when we don’t. Using data visualizations instead of equations, he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errors, whether in your own thinking or in media reports. Even if you have never studied statistics—or if you have and forgot everything you learned—this book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world.
Detail Book of Probably Overthinking It PDF
- Author : Allen B. Downey
- Release : 06 December 2023
- Publisher : University of Chicago Press
- ISBN : 9780226822594
- Genre : Mathematics
- Total Page : 259 pages
- Language : English
- PDF File Size : 21,7 Mb
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